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Ethiopia’s Development Faces Structural Barriers Despite Economic Growth, AfDB Report Finds

Ethiopia’s Development Faces Structural Barriers Despite Economic Growth, AfDB Report Finds

Ethiopia’s economy continues to grapple with persistent structural challenges, including high unemployment (27.2%), a poverty headcount ratio of 27%, and a low Human Development Index (HDI) score of 0.497, according to a new report by the African Development Bank (AfDB). Themed “Making Ethiopia’s Capital Work Better for Ethiopia’s Development,” the report underscores how economic recovery and growth are being undermined by inefficiencies in converting wealth into sustainable, inclusive development.

As frequently highlighted by government officials, economic growth rose to 7.3% in the 2023/24 fiscal year, up from 6.6% the previous year. This was supported by increased exports, relative exchange rate stability, and growing uptake of digital financial services. However, as the continent’s fourth-largest economy in terms of natural resource endowment, Ethiopia will need more than growth alone to overcome long-standing obstacles to development. The country remains off-track in achieving most of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), ranking 145th out of 167 countries in 2024.

To meet its development targets by 2030, Ethiopia requires additional annual financing equivalent to 13.2% of GDP. Yet this remains a distant prospect, with the current tax-to-GDP ratio hovering around 6.2%, one of the lowest in Africa and well below the 15% benchmark considered necessary for basic state functionality. A narrow tax base, widespread informality, and institutional weaknesses continue to constrain domestic revenue mobilization.

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